Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.005215 0.005764 0.006358 0.007051 0.007840 0.008714 0.009758
2025-07-27 0.004281 0.005025 0.005893 0.006989 0.008349 0.009996 0.012166
2025-08-03 0.003775 0.004607 0.005626 0.006985 0.008773 0.011083 0.014352
2025-08-10 0.003384 0.004255 0.005364 0.006906 0.009036 0.011936 0.016299
2025-08-17 0.003126 0.004033 0.005228 0.006952 0.009437 0.012989 0.018642
2025-08-24 0.002875 0.003790 0.005029 0.006875 0.009635 0.013751 0.020642
2025-08-31 0.002623 0.003520 0.004764 0.006666 0.009602 0.014143 0.022090
2025-09-07 0.002463 0.003364 0.004641 0.006648 0.009844 0.014976 0.024382
2025-09-14 0.002385 0.003317 0.004670 0.006856 0.010457 0.016474 0.028075
2025-09-21 0.002231 0.003146 0.004497 0.006728 0.010502 0.017011 0.030078
2025-09-28 0.002092 0.002986 0.004331 0.006594 0.010517 0.017488 0.032033
2025-10-05 0.001995 0.002885 0.004245 0.006583 0.010739 0.018360 0.034936
2025-10-12 0.001934 0.002838 0.004249 0.006732 0.011284 0.019955 0.039795
2025-10-19 0.001832 0.002723 0.004135 0.006672 0.011443 0.020829 0.043278
2025-10-26 0.001752 0.002635 0.004059 0.006669 0.011704 0.021943 0.047578
2025-11-02 0.001666 0.002533 0.003950 0.006594 0.011816 0.022756 0.051319
2025-11-09 0.001607 0.002472 0.003907 0.006638 0.012167 0.024137 0.056894
2025-11-16 0.001534 0.002382 0.003808 0.006565 0.012268 0.024969 0.061184
2025-11-23 0.001447 0.002263 0.003650 0.006367 0.012085 0.025111 0.063519
2025-11-30 0.001393 0.002200 0.003588 0.006350 0.012288 0.026210 0.069055
2025-12-07 0.001375 0.002196 0.003631 0.006547 0.012985 0.028649 0.079635
2025-12-14 0.001313 0.002112 0.003523 0.006426 0.012949 0.029199 0.084072
2025-12-21 0.001254 0.002031 0.003416 0.006299 0.012885 0.029668 0.088387